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Deadly April rainfall in US South and Midwest was intensified by climate change, scientists say

Deadly April rainfall in US South and Midwest was intensified by climate change, scientists say
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    WE SPOKE WITH DISTRICT OFFICIALS ABOUT CLEAN UP EFFORTS AND WHEN STUDENTS MAY RETURN TO CLASS. CREWS ARE HARD AT WORK IN WALDRON AFTER HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN RIPPED THROUGH CAMPUS BUILDINGS OVER THE WEEKEND- TEARING UP ROOFS AND FLOODING CLASSROOMS. "both of roofs were totaled...They didn't have major hail strikes. And with the top surface at that is it's penetrated it some some left holes, some didn't. And just the water had somewhere to go and they found ways to get in." SOMETHING 7TH GRADE TEACHER- RACHEL SEHORN- EXPERIENCED FIRSTHAND. "my classroom itself, it was just. It destroyed...my students work is messed up. I mean, it's gone because it had water damage." THE DISTRICT SAYS ABOUT 850 STUDENTS ARE OUT OF A CLASSROOM- JUST ONE WEEK BEFORE STATE TESTING BEGINS. "the timing, it couldn't be worse." ROOFERS AND ELECTRICIANS ARE WORKING TO REPAIR THE DAMAGE-- PUTTING UP TEMPOARY ROOFS UNTIL FULL REPLACEMENT CAN BEGIN IN THE SUMMER. ""they're really pushing to get the roofs Their roofs fixed and temporary roof, put on that way they can, concentrate on the inside." "we're just kind of waiting on what the they tell us, because we're not gonna allow the kids to come back or staff until the building safe and approved." WHILE THE DISTRICTS ASSISTANT SUPERINTENDENT SAYS ELEMENTARY STUDENTS COULD RETURN THIS WEEK... HE SAYS THE MIDDLE SCHOOL SUFFERED THE MOST DAMAGE AND COULD TAKE LONGER TO OPEN. IN THE MEANTIME- THE COMMUNITY IS STEPPING UP TO HELP. "Fortunately, we have a really good plan with our community. We have two churches that are opening the doors." "we have a great community. So we're going to overcome this THE SUP
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    Updated: 1:23 PM CDT May 8, 2025
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    Deadly April rainfall in US South and Midwest was intensified by climate change, scientists say
    AP logo
    Updated: 1:23 PM CDT May 8, 2025
    Editorial Standards
    Video above: Waldron Schools closed due to storm damage (Apr. 7)Human-caused climate change intensified deadly rainfall in Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee and other states in early April and made those storms more likely to occur, according to an analysis released Thursday by the World Weather Attribution group of scientists. Follow this link to read the analysis.The series of storms unleashed tornadoes, strong winds and extreme rainfall in the central Mississippi Valley region from April 3-6 and caused at least 24 deaths. Homes, roads and vehicles were inundated and 15 deaths were likely caused by catastrophic floods.The WWA analysis found that climate change increased rainfall intensity in the storms by 9% and made them 40% more likely compared to probability of such events in the pre-industrial age climate.Some of the moisture that fueled the storms came from the Gulf of Mexico, where water temperatures were abnormally warm by 1.2°C (2.2°F) compared to pre-industrial temperatures. That warming was made 14 times more likely due to climate change, according to the researchers from universities and meteorological agencies in the United States and Europe.Rapid analyses from the WWA use peer-reviewed methods to study an extreme weather event and distill it down to the factors that caused it. This approach lets scientists analyze which contributing factors had the biggest influence and how the event could have played out in a world without climate change.The analysis found a rainfall event of April's intensity could occur in the central Mississippi Valley region about once every 100 years. Even heavier downpours are expected to hit the region in the future unless the world rapidly slashes emissions of polluting gases such as carbon dioxide and methane that causes temperatures to rise, the study said.“That one in 100 years … is likely to go down to once every few decades,” said Ben Clarke, a researcher at the Centre for Environmental Policy at Imperial College London and the study’s lead author. “If we continue to burn fossil fuels, events like this will not only continue to occur, but they’ll keep getting more dangerous.”Heavier and more persistent rainfall is expected with climate change because the atmosphere holds more moisture as it warms. Warming ocean temperatures result in higher evaporation rates, which means more moisture is available to fuel storms.Forecast information and weather alerts from the National Weather Service communicated the risks of the April heavy rain days in advance, which the WWA says likely reduced the death toll. But workforce and budget cuts made by the Trump administration have left nearly half of NWS offices with 20% vacancy rates or higher, raising concerns for public safety during future extreme weather events and the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season that officially begins June 1.“If we start cutting back on these offices or reducing the staff ... the unfortunate result is going to be more death. We’re going to have more people dying because the warnings are not going to get out, the warnings are not going to be as fine-tuned as they are today," said Randall Cerveny, a climate professor at Arizona State University who was not involved in the study.___The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

    Video above: Waldron Schools closed due to storm damage (Apr. 7)

    Human-caused climate change intensified deadly rainfall in Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee and other states in early April and made those storms more likely to occur, according to an analysis released Thursday by the World Weather Attribution group of scientists. Follow this link to read the analysis.

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    The series of storms unleashed tornadoes, strong winds and extreme rainfall in the central Mississippi Valley region from April 3-6 and caused at least 24 deaths. Homes, roads and vehicles were inundated and 15 deaths were likely caused by catastrophic floods.

    The WWA analysis found that climate change increased rainfall intensity in the storms by 9% and made them 40% more likely compared to probability of such events in the pre-industrial age climate.

    Some of the moisture that fueled the storms came from the Gulf of Mexico, where water temperatures were abnormally warm by 1.2°C (2.2°F) compared to pre-industrial temperatures. That warming was made 14 times more likely due to climate change, according to the researchers from universities and meteorological agencies in the United States and Europe.

    Rapid analyses from the WWA use peer-reviewed methods to study an extreme weather event and distill it down to the factors that caused it. This approach lets scientists analyze which contributing factors had the biggest influence and how the event could have played out in a world without climate change.

    The analysis found a rainfall event of April's intensity could occur in the central Mississippi Valley region about once every 100 years. Even heavier downpours are expected to hit the region in the future unless the world rapidly slashes emissions of polluting gases such as carbon dioxide and methane that causes temperatures to rise, the study said.

    “That one in 100 years … is likely to go down to once every few decades,” said Ben Clarke, a researcher at the Centre for Environmental Policy at Imperial College London and the study’s lead author. “If we continue to burn fossil fuels, events like this will not only continue to occur, but they’ll keep getting more dangerous.”

    Heavier and more persistent rainfall is expected with climate change because the atmosphere holds more moisture as it warms. Warming ocean temperatures result in higher evaporation rates, which means more moisture is available to fuel storms.

    Forecast information and weather alerts from the National Weather Service communicated the risks of the April heavy rain days in advance, which the WWA says likely reduced the death toll. But workforce and budget cuts made by the Trump administration have left nearly half of NWS offices with 20% vacancy rates or higher, raising concerns for public safety during future extreme weather events and the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season that officially begins June 1.

    “If we start cutting back on these offices or reducing the staff ... the unfortunate result is going to be more death. We’re going to have more people dying because the warnings are not going to get out, the warnings are not going to be as fine-tuned as they are today," said Randall Cerveny, a climate professor at Arizona State University who was not involved in the study.

    ___

    The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.